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Thursday, October 20, 2005

A Collective Vomit

Well, that was fun. Not!

The bulls promptly vomited yesterday's hard-fought gains and the carnage was both intense and disappointing. If anything, this reversal of the reversal proves that the bears are in complete control.

Z41

Unlike yesterday, we do have some signs in after-hours activity that not all is wrong in the world (see Google (GOOG) & SanDisk (SNDK)) but perhaps I'm just having a few delusions of grandeur. Aren't option expiration weeks fun?

We'll saddle up tomorrow and see what Mr. Market hands us next. With the "C" word making the rounds, at least we won't be bored in the short-term. Have a wonderful evening!

Posted by Kirk at 5:50 PM in Review | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


The Slippery Slope

Slope_1Did the bulls forget to show up today? If we continue going down this slippery slope, I'll be a little more than a bit concerned.

We're simply not seeing the rotation out of energy into other areas of the market as we should. People seem to be building their cash positions and staying on hold. After some of the declines I've seen in the energy space, I can certainly understand why.

Posted by Kirk at 2:24 PM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


Watching The Bears

Bearattack_7The bears are giving it their best shot to take back control and so far they're doing a mightily impressive job. Still, I suspect the bulls aren't going to roll over and play dead this afternoon. It's just a hunch, but I sense we're in for an interesting afternoon again.

I'm doing very little other than watching the hedge funds push up CBOT (BOT) like there's no tomorrow! See you after the closing bell.

Posted by Kirk at 1:05 PM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


Quick Hits

61_6

Posted by Kirk at 10:50 AM | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


Window Of Opportunity

WindowofopportunityGood morning. After yesterday's timely reversal, the herd will be on edge more than normal in order to determine if a tradeable rally is at hand or we just experienced an garden-variety oversold snapper.

Like yesterday with Intel (INTC), in the early going investors seem to be taking a cautious approach following a few disappointing reports and guidance from the likes of eBay (EBAY) & Pfizer (PFE). Still, the vast majority of reports continue to exceed expectations. So what else is new, right?

Good earnings reports don't necessarily require that stocks have to rally, but it does set up an environment in which the bulls do have a window of opportunity, albeit a brief one. Most of the power of the upside move will come from the short-sellers, so it will be fairly important for the bulls to keep the heat on. If the bears go to work in the first hour, it will be an important tell for us to see if the bulls can manage another afternoon snapper.

Later this morning we have the leading indicators report, more earnings reports, as well as stock expiration tomorrow. I also think uncertainty over Hurricane Wilma will also play a role, although a minor one from the market's standpoint. Have a great day out there!

Posted by Kirk at 9:11 AM in Preview | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |

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