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Monday, October 10, 2005

Correction Mode

As an astute observer of the obvious, I have to say the market remains in a full-fledged correction mode.

Z37

The premarket futures gave one of the most erroneous reads I've seen in some time and on balance my research and trading gut feel suggest that holding cash and/or putting out a few speculative shorts on a bounce, remain the best options for our buck. Clearly good earnings reports over the coming weeks could turn the tide the other way, but for now rolling stops and a hefty amount of patience remains the name of the game.

I wish I had better news to report on my first day back, but as you know - I call'em the way I see'em. Have a great evening!

Posted by Kirk at 4:43 PM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


The Mirror Opposite

Dow10k_2On just about every level I see, we've have a mirror opposite of the type of market we saw in the final week of October.

Everyone is worried about the upcoming earnings season, which I personally think is a net positive. Yet, I'm having difficulty finding the type of setups that encourage me to put money back in play.

Until we see Mr. Market act like the bad news is really priced in, I don't mind sitting in cash. And frankly, given what I'm seeing out there today another revisit back to Dow 10K seems not only possible, but probable.

Posted by Kirk at 2:33 PM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


10 Charts

Upon my arrival back to the trading turret, here are 10 stock charts I find more than a little interesting:

Vphm3

Sirf

Kong

Swb

Bkrs

Thld

Simo

Prsc

Conr

Lton

Posted by Kirk at 12:26 PM in Charts | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


Special Insights

41_5

Posted by Kirk at 11:41 AM | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |


The Wrong Foot

Footprint_2Good morning. Following a rough week for the market, premarket futures are higher this morning as investors shift their focus to third quarter earnings reports.

To say the least, last week was a good week to be away on vacation. The -2.6% loss in the Dow, the -2.7% loss in the S&P 500, and the -2.9% loss in the Nasdaq has certainly started the 4th quarter on the wrong foot.

Yet, from everything I read and hear, the vast majority still would like to see a larger pullback before putting serious amounts of money to work ahead of the long-awaited 4th quarter rally. Today's premarket futures indicate that there is at some buying interest out there following last week's decline.

While I stayed up on the current market events and shared a few thoughts with members last week, my #1 goal is to get my feel back for the tape and figure out my next move. It's nice to be back.

Posted by Kirk at 8:45 AM in Analysis | Bookmark | Feeds | Link |

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